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News & Articles By Garrison Vance
05/10/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Israel Says Ceasefire Void If Hamas Refuses to Disarm
Israel is not obligated to uphold ceasefire commitments if Hamas refuses to disarm, according to a letter from the U.S.-backed Board of Peace obtained by the Times of Israel and reported by Middle East Eye [1]. Nickolay Mladenov, the Board of Peace High Representative for Gaza, warned the head of the Palestinian technocratic government that […]
05/10/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Oil Falls Below $100 a Barrel on Renewed Hopes of U.S.-Iran Peace Deal
Brent crude oil fell 4.3% to $96.96 per barrel on May 7, 2026, during volatile trading, as renewed hopes of a U.S.-Iran peace deal emerged, according to market analysts. The benchmark slipped $4.31 from its May 6 close, with intraday fluctuations of up to 4.6%, exchange data showed. Shipping giant Maersk warned that even if […]
05/10/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Chinese Embassy Condemns Israeli Lawmaker’s Visit to Taiwan Region, Warns Against “Crossing Red Lines”
Embassy Statement and Key Facts The Chinese Embassy in Israel issued a statement on May 6, 2026, condemning a visit to the Taiwan region by Yesh Atid lawmaker Boaz Toporovsky. The statement, published on the embassy’s official WeChat account, said the visit violates the one-China principle and undermines the political foundation of China-Israel relations. According […]
05/10/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Oil Trader Nets Estimated $125 Million on Suspiciously Timed Bet Ahead of U.S.-Iran Deal Report
Nearly 10,000 crude oil short contracts, valued at approximately $920 million, were placed at 3:40 a.m. on Wednesday, May 6, without any major news event, according to market commentary platform the Kobeissi Letter. At 4:50 a.m., Axios reported that Washington and Tehran were nearing an agreement to end the conflict and resume negotiations. Oil prices […]
05/09/2026
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By Garrison Vance
US State Department warns diplomats against using insider information for Iran-related wagers
State Department issues warning over geopolitical betting The U.S. State Department has issued a memorandum reminding employees worldwide that using undisclosed official information for financial gain is a “very serious offense” that “will not be tolerated,” according to a report by the Wall Street Journal as covered by RT. The directive reportedly referenced online prediction […]
05/09/2026
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By Garrison Vance
U.S. Fuel Exports Hit Record High as Hormuz Crisis Reshapes Global Energy Flows
U.S. oil product exports surged to a record 8.2 million barrels per day last week, according to Bloomberg reporting. Diesel exports led the increase and reached an all-time high, the report stated. The surge comes as countries seek to replace fuel supplies disrupted by the Strait of Hormuz crisis. [1] [2] The record export volumes […]
05/09/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Russia Urges Foreign Embassies to Evacuate Kyiv Ahead of Potential Strikes
Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Wednesday warned foreign diplomatic missions to evacuate staff from the Ukrainian capital Kyiv, citing the inevitability of a retaliatory strike by Russian forces if Ukraine attempts to disrupt Russia’s May 9 Victory Day commemorations. Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, speaking in a video posted on Telegram, urged countries to “ensure the timely evacuation […]
05/08/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Spain’s Sanchez Urges EU to Activate Blocking Statute Against U.S. Sanctions on ICC
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez on Wednesday called on the European Commission to activate the EU Blocking Statute to shield the International Criminal Court (ICC) and the United Nations from U.S. sanctions imposed under the Trump administration. Sanchez posted on X that “Spain does not look the other way” and that “the EU cannot stand […]
05/08/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Trump Says “Too Soon” for Iran Peace Deal Signing, Enrichment Dispute Continues
U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters Wednesday, May 6, that it is “too soon” to prepare for a peace-signing ceremony in Islamabad after reports that the United States and Iran were closing in on a framework to end their 67-day war. The president’s statement came the same day Axios reported that White House officials believed […]
05/08/2026
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By Garrison Vance
Germany Requests Israeli Jet Fuel as Hormuz Disruptions Affect European Aviation
Israel will supply jet fuel to Germany after Berlin requested assistance as the Hormuz crisis disrupts aviation fuel flows into Europe, according to Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar. The shipments will be coordinated through domestic refining companies, with export volumes and delivery schedules dependent on how the regional conflict develops and whether shipping and refinery […]
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